Welcher obskuren Sekte bist du eigentlich auf den Leim gegangen...? >%´(Zitat von Argutiae
User in diesem Thread gebannt : heizer, Ingeborg, tosh, Schlummifix, irgendeiner, Hanseat, funkelstern and hic |
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Welcher obskuren Sekte bist du eigentlich auf den Leim gegangen...? >%´(
„Ich finde es nicht richtig, dass man immer die Sorgen und Nöte der Bevölkerung ernst nehmen muss. Was haben die denn für Sorgen und Nöte? Ich kann das nicht verstehen!“
*
Elfriede Handrick, SPD Brandenburg
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Können ja, aber mit welcher Konsequenz ist man dann auch bereit das durchzusetzen, wenn sich dort ein marodierender Muselmob einfindet und die Grenzer auf die Probe stellt?
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
In folgender Stratfor Analyse vom Februar 2015 wird vorausgesagt, dass die EU bis 2025 zerfallen wird. Stratfor ist ein privater Ableger des CIA.
Quelle:
Sample Article: Decade Forecast: 2015-2025
Decade Forecast: 2015-2025
February 23, 2015 | 10:08 GMT
Decade Forecast: 2015-2025
This is the fifth Decade Forecast published by Stratfor. Every five years since 1996 (1996, 2000, 2005, 2010 and now, 2015) Stratfor has produced a rolling forecast. Overall, we are proud of our efforts. We predicted the inability of Europe to survive economic crises, China's decline and the course of the U.S.-jihadist war. We also made some errors. We did not anticipate 9/11, and more important, we did not anticipate the scope of the American response. But in 2005 we did forecast the difficulty the United States would face and the need for the United States to withdraw from its military engagements in the Islamic world. We predicted China's weakness too early, but we saw that weakness when others were seeing the emergence of an economy larger than that of the United States. Above all, we have consistently forecast the enduring power of the United States. This is not a forecast rooted in patriotism or jingoism. It derives from our model that continues to view the United States as the pre-eminent power.
We do not forecast everything. We focus on the major trends and tendencies in the world. Thus, we see below some predictions from our 2010 Decade Forecast:
We see the U.S.-jihadist war subsiding. This does not mean that Islamist militancy will be eliminated. Attempts at attacks will continue, and some will succeed. However, the two major wars in the region will have dramatically subsided if not concluded by 2020. We also see the Iranian situation having been brought under control. Whether this will be by military action and isolation of Iran or by a political arrangement with the current or a successor regime is unclear but irrelevant to the broader geopolitical issue. Iran will be contained, as it simply does not have the underlying power to be a major player in the region beyond its immediate horizons.
The diversity of systems and demographics that is Europe will put the European Union's institutions under severe strain. We suspect the institutions will survive. We doubt that they will work very effectively. The main political tendency will be away from multinational solutions to a greater nationalism driven by divergent and diverging economic, social and cultural forces. The elites that have crafted the European Union will find themselves under increasing pressure from the broader population. The tension between economic interests and cultural stability will define Europe. Consequently, inter-European relations will be increasingly unpredictable and unstable.
Russia will spend the 2010s seeking to secure itself before the demographic decline really hits. It will do this by trying to move from raw commodity exports to process commodity exports, moving up the value chain to fortify its economy while its demographics still allow it. Russia will also seek to reintegrate the former Soviet republics into some coherent entity in order to delay its demographic problems, expand its market and above all reabsorb some territorial buffers. Russia sees itself as under the gun, and therefore is in a hurry. This will cause it to appear more aggressive and dangerous than it is in the long run. However, in the 2010s, Russia's actions will cause substantial anxiety in its neighbors, both in terms of national security and its rapidly shifting economic policies.
The states most concerned — and affected — will be the former satellite states of Central Europe. Russia's primary concern remains the North European Plain, the traditional invasion route into Russia. This focus will magnify as Europe becomes more unpredictable politically. Russian pressure on Central Europe will not be overwhelming military pressure, but Central European psyches are finely tuned to threats. We believe this constant and growing pressure will stimulate Central European economic, social and military development.
...
The Decade Ahead
...
First, the European Union entered a crisis that it could not solve and that has increased in intensity. We predict that the European Union will never return to its previous unity, and if it survives it will operate in a more limited and fragmented way in the next decade. We do not expect the free trade zone to continue to operate without increasing protectionism. We expect Germany to suffer severe economic reversals in the next decade and Poland to increase its regional power as a result.
The current confrontation with Russia over Ukraine will remain a centerpiece of the international system over the next few years, but we do not think the Russian Federation can exist in its current form for the entire decade....
We have entered a period in which the decline of the nation-states created by Europe in North Africa and the Middle East is accelerating. ...
It will be a disorderly world, with a changing of the guard in many regions. The one constant will be the continued and maturing power of the United States — a power that will be much less visible and that will be utilized far less in the next decade.
Europe
The European Union will be unable to solve its fundamental problem, which is not the eurozone, but the free trade zone. Germany is the center of gravity of the European Union; it exports more than 50 percent of its GDP, and half of that goes to other EU countries. Germany has created a productive capability that vastly outstrips its ability to consume, even if the domestic economy were stimulated. It depends on these exports to maintain economic growth, full employment and social stability. The European Union's structures — including the pricing of the euro and many European regulations — are designed to facilitate this export dependency.
This has already fragmented Europe into at least two parts. Mediterranean Europe and countries such as Germany and Austria have completely different behavioral patterns and needs. No single policy can suit all of Europe. This has been the core problem from the beginning, but it has now reached an extreme point. What benefits one part of Europe harms another.
Nationalism has already risen significantly. Compounding this is the Ukrainian crisis and Eastern European countries' focus on the perceived threat from Russia. Eastern Europe's concern about Russia creates yet another Europe — four, total, if we separate the United Kingdom and Scandinavia from the rest of Europe. Considered with the rise of Euroskeptic parties on the right and left, the growing delegitimation of mainstream parties and the surging popularity of separatist parties within European countries, the fragmentation and nationalism that we forecast in 2005, and before, is clearly evident.
These trends will continue. The European Union might survive in some sense, but European economic, political and military relations will be governed primarily by bilateral or limited multilateral relationships that will be small in scope and not binding. Some states might maintain a residual membership in a highly modified European Union, but this will not define Europe.
What will define Europe in the next decade is the re-emergence of the nation-state as the primary political vehicle of the continent. Indeed the number of nation-states will likely increase as various movements favoring secession, or the dissolution of states into constituent parts, increase their power. This will be particularly noticeable during the next few years, as economic and political pressures intensify amid Europe's crisis.
Germany has emerged from this mass of nation-states as the most economically and politically influential. Yet Germany is also extremely vulnerable. It is the world's fourth-largest economic power, but it has achieved that status by depending on exports. Export powers have a built-in vulnerability: They depend on their customers' desire and ability to buy their products. In other words, Germany's economy is hostage to the economic well-being and competitive environment in which it operates.
There are multiple forces working against Germany in this regard. First, Europe's increasing nationalism will lead to protectionist capital and labor markets. Weaker countries are likely to adopt various sorts of capital controls, while stronger countries will limit the movement of foreigners — including the citizens of other EU countries — across their borders. We forecast that existing protectionist policies inside the European Union, particularly on agriculture, will be supplemented in coming years by trade barriers created by the weaker Southern European economies that need to rebuild their economic base after the current depression. On a global basis, we can expect European exports to face increased competition and highly variable demand in the uncertain environment. Therefore, our forecast is that Germany will begin an extended economic decline that will lead to a domestic social and political crisis and that will reduce Germany's influence in Europe during the next 10 years.
...
It is unlikely that the Russian Federation will survive in its current form. Russia's failure to transform its energy revenue into a self-sustaining economy makes it vulnerable to price fluctuations. It has no defense against these market forces. Given the organization of the federation, with revenue flowing to Moscow before being distributed directly or via regional governments, the flow of resources will also vary dramatically. This will lead to a repeat of the Soviet Union's experience in the 1980s and Russia's in the 1990s, in which Moscow's ability to support the national infrastructure declined. In this case, it will cause regions to fend for themselves by forming informal and formal autonomous entities. The economic ties binding the Russian periphery to Moscow will fray.
Historically, the Russians solved such problems via the secret police — the KGB and its successor, the Federal Security Services (FSB). But just as in the 1980s, the secret police will not be able to contain the centrifugal forces pulling regions away from Moscow this decade. In this case, the FSB's power is weakened by its leadership's involvement in the national economy. As the economy falters, so does the FSB's strength. Without the FSB inspiring genuine terror, the fragmentation of the Russian Federation will not be preventable.
...
This will create the greatest crisis of the next decade. Russia is the site of a massive nuclear strike force distributed throughout the hinterlands. The decline of Moscow's power will open the question of who controls those missiles and how their non-use can be guaranteed.
...
Stratfor
“The powers of financial capitalism had another far reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole.” –Prof. Caroll Quigley, Georgetown University, Tragedy and Hope (1966)
AW: Merkels Türkei-Plan gescheitert
und dann stellt Murksel sich heute noch hin und behauptet, sie hätte an Zustimmung in der Bevölkerung gewonnen!!! Unglaublich!
Ich habe ja immer noch die vage Hoffnung, das ihr nach den Wahlen im März der Wind der eigenen Partei ihr heftig ins Gesicht bläst!
CO2 ist Leben - keine Steuer
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Argutiae ist fester Bestandteil der jaehrlichen Bilderberger-Meetings..
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Ich 20000 €, denke es werden noch viel mehr dank refugees.Sollen doch die refugees woanders konsumieren, statt auf unsere Kosten.
Wäre ich Kanzler, wir wären schuldenfrei.
Ohne Skepsis verhungert die Demokratie.
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Können täte man, aber in dieser von dämlichen Gutmenschen beherrschten Zeit ist das Notwendige unmöglich.
Nur zwei Dinge sind unendlich, das Universum und die Menschliche Dummheit.
Beim Universum bin ich mir nicht sicher.
Einstein
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Wie Kinder die zuviel Schokolade essen und dann kotzen. So soll es den Guties gehen.
Ohne Skepsis verhungert die Demokratie.
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
Vielleicht kommt es doch noch anders und die EUdSSR zerfaellt vorher, ein Ereignis, das ich sehr begruessen wuerde.
'Private CIA' Stratfor Claims EU, Russia Will Fall Apart
Texas-based think tank has released a forecast for 2015-2025, predicting the collapse of Russia and the EU, the decline of China, while the US and its allies flourish
...
[Links nur für registrierte Nutzer]
Die Visegrad-Gruppe bestehend aus Polen, Tschechien, Ungarn und der Slowakei bestaetigt, dass einzelne demokratische Nationalstaaten ohne jedes Dominanzstreben durchaus in Europa einverstaendlich und bei gegenseitigem Respekt zusammenarbeiten koennen.
Die deutsche Regierung sollte das registrieren und auch verinnerlichen. Jetzt weht ein anderer Wind.
Deutschland sollte demuetiger und bescheidener werden und sich an dieser Visegrad Gruppe ein Beispiel nehmen. Der moralische Imperialismus und das Dominanzstreben der deutschen Merkel Junta muss endlich ein Ende nehmen.
Kein Staat in Europa hat Merkel gefragt, ob es die Invasoren aufnehmen wolle. Die Voelker der Visegrad Gruppe haben Merkel keinen demokratischen Auftrag zu dieser Invasoren Quote gegeben.
Merkel muss von ihrem hohen Ross und ihrem diktatorischen Gebahren gegenueber anderen Staaten in der EU endlich runterkommen.
Die Balkanroute muss jetzt dicht gemacht werden.
“The powers of financial capitalism had another far reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole.” –Prof. Caroll Quigley, Georgetown University, Tragedy and Hope (1966)
AW: Sammelstrang: Asylbewerber
>x´(
„Ich finde es nicht richtig, dass man immer die Sorgen und Nöte der Bevölkerung ernst nehmen muss. Was haben die denn für Sorgen und Nöte? Ich kann das nicht verstehen!“
*
Elfriede Handrick, SPD Brandenburg
Aktive Benutzer in diesem Thema: 6 (Registrierte Benutzer: 0, Gäste: 6)
Nutzer die den Thread gelesen haben : 171Du hast keine Berechtigung, um die Liste der Namen zu sehen.
Forumregeln
Mit Zitat antworten