Laut israelischen Sicherheitserkenntnissen muss Gadhafi eigentlich nur noch bis zu den Sandstuermen durchalten. Dann koennen die NATO-Flugzeuge auch nicht mehr viel ausrichten. Die Rebellen duerften weiter in erhebliche Schwierigkeiten geraten, falls es nicht mehr zu einer Bodenoffensive der NATO kommen sollte:
...
debkafile's military sources report that with NATO constrained from stepping up its air attacks, beyond limited sorties against pro-Qaddafi columns and sporadic bombardments of his ammunition stores, the rebels will have to start counting the days to their defeat. All the Libyan ruler needs to do is to wait until Western air raids fade away altogether. He can then march on the rebel center of Benghazi and either kill the rebel leaders who don't flee in time or take them prisoner and put them on trial for treason.
He may decide to wait out the summer for the sandstorms of early winter to keep NATO aircraft grounded and then force the opposition to surrender; or else he may make a sudden grab for Benghazi before then and  andandandand confront the Western allies with an embarrassing fait accompli. With no more than 4-6 coalition aircraft in the sky at any time, NATO will not be able to do much to stop him.
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Quelle:
http://www.debka.com/article/20853/
Dass der Westen weiter nach einem Kriegsgrund und eventuell nach fadenscheinigen Gruenden fuer eine kommende NATO-Bodenoffensive suchen wird, wird auch hier bestaetigt:
http://articles.boston.com/2011-04-1...ebel-positions